Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000115 0.000126 0.000139 0.000153 0.000169 0.000186 0.000206
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000110 0.000129 0.000154 0.000183 0.000218 0.000262
2026-01-25 0.000078 0.000097 0.000121 0.000151 0.000191 0.000241 0.000309
2026-02-01 0.000068 0.000089 0.000115 0.000151 0.000201 0.000266 0.000359
2026-02-08 0.000060 0.000081 0.000109 0.000149 0.000205 0.000283 0.000401
2026-02-15 0.000053 0.000074 0.000103 0.000145 0.000208 0.000298 0.000439
2026-02-22 0.000049 0.000070 0.000100 0.000147 0.000217 0.000322 0.000493
2026-03-01 0.000046 0.000068 0.000099 0.000149 0.000228 0.000350 0.000556
2026-03-08 0.000042 0.000063 0.000094 0.000146 0.000229 0.000361 0.000594
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000141 0.000227 0.000368 0.000624
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000056 0.000088 0.000142 0.000235 0.000392 0.000687
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000054 0.000087 0.000144 0.000244 0.000417 0.000755
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000051 0.000084 0.000142 0.000246 0.000434 0.000809
2026-04-12 0.000030 0.000049 0.000082 0.000142 0.000254 0.000460 0.000887
2026-04-19 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000140 0.000256 0.000476 0.000947
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.000045 0.000077 0.000140 0.000262 0.000500 0.001026
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000138 0.000264 0.000515 0.001087
2026-05-10 0.000023 0.000040 0.000072 0.000135 0.000263 0.000526 0.001141
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000039 0.000071 0.000136 0.000271 0.000557 0.001243
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000038 0.000071 0.000138 0.000283 0.000594 0.001367
2026-05-31 0.000019 0.000036 0.000068 0.000135 0.000281 0.000603 0.001424
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000130 0.000276 0.000605 0.001463
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000033 0.000064 0.000132 0.000285 0.000638 0.001585